Produccion I

Desarrollo de Ejercicios

1. Una empresa que se dedica a la comercialización de llantas ha recopilado la información de las ventas de los últimos 6 meses para uno de los modelos más vendidos:

Mes Ventas

Abril 344

Mayo 360

Junio 334

Julio 422

Agosto 384

Septiembre 476

a) Pronostique la demanda para el mes de octubre usando un promedio móvil de 3 meses.

PMS = 476+384+422 = 428 llantas

3

b) Utilice un promedio móvil ponderado de tres meses, con ponderaciones de .1, .3 y .6, usando .6 para la semana más reciente, para determinar la demanda del mes de octubre.

PMP= 476(0.6)+ 384(0.3)+422(0.1)

0.6+0.3+0.1

PMP= 285.6+ 115.2+42.2

1

PMP= 443 llantas

c) Calcule el pronóstico de todos los meses usando suavizamiento exponencial con α = 0.4., si el pronósticos de las ventas para el mes de Abril fue de 350 llantas.

Abril Julio

Ft= 350+0.4(344350) Ft= 346+0.4(422-346)

Ft= 350-24 Ft= 346-30.4

Ft= 348 llantas Ft= 316llantas

Mayo Agosto

Ft= 348+0.4(360348) Ft= 316+0.4(384-316)

Ft= 348-4.8 Ft= 316-27.2

Ft= 353 llantas Ft= 344llantas

Ejercicios

Divergent

Before watching

1. Circle the best words.

Divergent is a/an movie based in a book of Veronica Roth, The book was/were released in 2011 and the movie in 2014. The story is set in a post war Chicago, where survivors are/is divided into five factions based on their personality. Every/ all year, all boys and girls who are sixteen years old/ sixteen years have to take an aptitude test that describes the group they are going/ go to be in. After receiving the results, they can decide if they want/wanting to continue with their family's faction or transfer to a new one. Those/these who do not complete initiation into their new faction are forced to live in poverty on/at the streets of the city.

While watching

2. Match each faction with their main characteristics

1. e People in this group protect the city. They’re fearless and brave. a. Abnegation

2. f These people are always honest and tell the truth. b. Erudites

3. b People in this faction value the logic and knowledge. c. Factionless

4. a People from this group are dedicated to help others. They live a simple life. d. Amity

5. d The people from this faction farm the land and appreciate harmony. e. Dauntless

6. c These people don’t have a faction, they don’t belong anywhere. f. Candor

3. Choose true or false for each statement.

a. Tris’ parents are from the faction Abnegation. __T__

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